| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/449CQJP | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2021/03.02.17.50 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2021:03.02.17.50.29 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2021/03.02.17.50.29 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2024:01.23.16.31.15 (UTC) simone | |||
| DOI | 10.1002/ldr.3681 | |||
| ISSN | 1085-3278 1099-145X | |||
| Citation Key | VieiraTBMRRCS:2021:CuTrFu | |||
| Title | Desertification risk assessment in Northeast Brazil: Current trends and future scenarios  | |||
| Year | 2021 | |||
| Month | Jan. | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 16 | |||
| Type of Work | journal article | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 12245 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Vieira, Rita Márcia da Silva Pinto 2 Tomasella, Javier 3 Barbosa, Alexandre Augusto 4 Martins, Minella A. 5 Rodriguez, Daniel A. 6 Rezende, Fernanda S. D. 7 Carriello, Felix 8 Santana, Marcos D. O. | |||
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHE3 | |||
| ORCID | 1 0000-0002-9857-3872 | |||
| Group | 1 DIIAV-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 2 3 DIIAV-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 4 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) 5 Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ) 6 Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF) 7 Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF) 8 Ministério do Meio Ambiente (MMA) | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 ritamsp@gmail.com 2 3 alexandre.barbosa@inpe.br | |||
| Journal | Land Degradation and Development | |||
| Volume | 32 | |||
| Number | 1 | |||
| Pages | 224-240 | |||
| Secondary Mark | A2_INTERDISCIPLINAR A2_GEOGRAFIA A2_ENGENHARIAS_I B1_GEOCIÊNCIAS B1_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I B1_BIODIVERSIDADE B3_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I C_ZOOTECNIA_/_RECURSOS_PESQUEIROS | |||
| History (UTC) | 2021-03-02 17:50:29 :: simone -> administrator :: 2021-03-02 17:50:31 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021 2021-03-02 17:52:45 :: simone -> administrator :: 2021 2022-04-03 22:28:13 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Keywords | climate change climatic projections desertification susceptibility LULC modelling MEDALUS | |||
| Abstract | Desertification is one of the major environmental problems that humanity faces today, since it reduces the availability of ecosystem services, increases food insecurity and poverty, and affects the wellbeing of societies. The analysis of the process is extremely complex, since the phenomenon takes place at different temporal and spatial scales, influenced by different factors. It is widely recognized that land use/land cover change (LULC) is one of the main drivers of desertification since environmental degradation is always triggers by the removal of natural vegetation cover. In this study, a LULC change model was calibrated and validated using climate model simulations, demographic data and land susceptibility maps for the historical period 20002010. Then, desertification susceptibility of the Northeast of Brazil were estimated by integrating LULC trajectories with three different downscaled climate change scenarios and projection of population growth for the period 20152025, 20252035, and 20352045 for the emission scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Results indicated that, between 2010 and 20352045, areas of moderate susceptibility decreased 10.34%, while areas of high susceptibility increased 12.28% in the case of the RCP4.5. For the RCP8.5 scenario, those numbers are −16.85% for moderate susceptibility, and +19.62% for high susceptibility. Among all indicators included in the analysis, land management was the main driver of desertification susceptibility, which indicates that mitigation and adaptation strategies for the region should pursue sustainable land use policies. | |||
| Area | CST | |||
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Desertification risk assessment... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | vieira_desertification.pdf | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Reader Group | administrator simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.50.34 1 | |||
| Dissemination | PORTALCAPES; COMPENDEX. | |||
| Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Notes | Prêmio CAPES Elsevier 2023 - ODS 2: Fome zero e Agricultura sustentável Prêmio CAPES Elsevier 2023 - ODS 15: Vida terrestre | |||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||